Las geopolitical tensions coming from Washington They continue to prevail on the stock market. It is that after the conflict with Venezuela Last week, it was the turn of Greenland and Iran. Without forgetting the tensions with Jerome Powell, president of the Federal Reserve (FED). All this in one positive start to results seasonleaving the DOW JONES Ind Average, S&P 500 y NASDAQ 100in bearish territory at the weekly close with -0.17% to 49,359 points, -0.08 to 6,939 points and -0.07% to 25,529 points respectively.
Donald Trump’s intention to make Greenland a new state of your country with a diplomatic response with Denmark without good results and the protests in Iran supported by the president were the catalysts for this end of session. Generating a uncomfortable environment among the members of the I’LL TAKE and countries asking the US to seek a diplomatic channel to deal with Iran.
Even Trump declared this Friday his intention to put tariffs to countries that do not accept his decision to acquire Greenland at an event at the White House.
«I could impose tariffs on countries if they don’t accept Greenland, because we need it for national security,» Trump said, according to Yahoo Finance.
Trump has previously stated that the United States should control Greenland, stating that a negotiated agreement would be «easier,» but also insisting that the United States will achieve it «one way or another.»
With respect to the FED, to the tensions with Jerome Powell we must add the Trump’s reluctance to name Kevin Hassett as the next president of the government entity. Fueling speculation that we will not have a more dovish FED as expected.
«In fact, I want you to stay where you are, if you want to know the truth,» Trump told Hassett at a White House event.
Meanwhile the Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowmandeclared on Friday that the central bank should be prepared to cut interest rates furtherciting «signs of fragility» in the labor market according to Yahoo Finance.
«In the absence of a clear and sustained improvement in labor market conditions, we must remain prepared to adjust monetary policy toward a more neutral level,» Bowman said in a speech at the New England Economic Forum in Foxborough, Massachusetts. «We must also avoid signaling pause without identifying that conditions have changed.»
Bowman noted that even as inflation moves closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, he continues to see «signs of fragility» in the labor market. He added that the recent drop in job openings and weakness in hiring, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, could translate into a further increase in unemployment.
Bowman warned that once companies pass from slowing hiring to cutting positionslayoffs could increase and the labor market could deteriorate rapidly.
On the technological side, Taiwan Semi Sp ADR y NVIDIA expect further gains, thanks in part to a trade agreement between the United States and Taiwan which promises a boost 250 billion dollars to American chip and technology manufacturing, according to Yahoo Finance.
Among the economic data we had the December annual industrial production of 1.99% with a decrease compared to the previous one of 2.68%, the December monthly industrial production index was 0.4% compared to the expected 0.1% and the December monthly manufacturing production of 76.3% compared to the expected 76%.
Among the winning actions we have: Micron Technolog (+7.78% to $362.83), Super Micro (+11.01% to 32.66 dollars) and IBM (+2.64% to $305.83)
Micron rose after the start of construction of its $100 billion memory manufacturing complex in Clay, New York. The facility will include up to four manufacturing plants and is expected to become the largest semiconductor facility in the United States.
The company says the facility will create 50,000 jobs in New York and represents the largest private investment in New York state history. Production is expected to begin in 2030, with manufacturing plants increasing capacity throughout the decade, according to Investing.
Super Micro Computer rose due to optimism about the company’s valuation on the part of analysts and operators who see that the title is «cheap» in relation to expected growth, which attracts opportunity purchases, according to TechStock2.
IBM went up after learning that Mountain Financial LLC acquired a new stake in the firm during the third quarter, according to its latest Formulario 13F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm acquired 3,846 shares of the technology company, valued at approximately $1,085,000 according to Marketbeat.
Regarding the losing stocks we have: Cnstlltn Ener Co (-9.76% to $307.89), View (-7.47% to $166.60) and Unitedhealth Gro (-2.34% to $331.02)
Constellation Energy y Vistra fell this Friday after the meeting between President Trump and local governors of the Mid-Atlantic (PJM) grid regions, who presented a new plan on Friday. Which seeks to organize a emergency power auction on the PJM network where big technology companies (such as Amazon, Alphabet-A y Microsoft) would bid for long-term electricity generation contracts. The plan seeks reduce the cost of electricity for AI data centers, but raised concerns among traditional energy stock investors. As it could hinder utilities’ ability to charge more for their existing power generation assets, according to Yahoo Finance e Invesstors.
UnitedHealth fell even though Bernstein has reiterated a rating of Better Performance with a target price of $444according to a research note published Friday.
The analyst Lance Wilkes cited the potential for «strong earnings growth» for UNH, projecting a 33% upside for the healthcare giant. Bernstein named UnitedHealth as its main choice for 2026predicting that shares could rise by about 80% over the next three years, despite expectations that earnings per share in 2028 will remain below 2024 levels, according to Investing.
Before finishing with the last data, José Antonio González, technical analyst of Investment Strategiesshares with us an analysis of the Mini S&P 500 Future:
The market noise increases throughout the last trading days, and it does so after having achieved a daily candle close above the projected resistance from 7,013 points last Monday, January 12. The above shows an increase in doubts regarding the validation of overcoming significant resistance, since just one session after overcoming the aforementioned resistance the market tried to continue advancing but without success, which left us with a new annual maximum of 7,036 points in the Future Mini S&P 500.
From there, much ado about nothing. At least, the purchases are managing to respect at the close of the daily candle the increasing guideline that starts from the November 2025 minimum, whose violation at the daily close would enable a potential attack on the support of 6,935 / 6,923 points, whose perforation, also at the close of the daily candle, would confirm the beginning of a correction in the strictest short term, that is, in view of the following trading sessions that could put the next support of 6,866 points under threat.
Above, the objective is as clear as possible, to resolve upwards at the close of the daily candle the current annual and historical highs, projected from 7,036 points, a movement that would enable us to get out of the current indecision in which the market finds itself.
Mini S&P 500 (ES) future on daily scale with volatility (upper center chart), MACD (lower center chart) and trading activity (lower window). Source: ProRealTime and own elaboration.
Los Oil futures WTI is trading +0.46% at $59.47 and the crude Brent +0.60% to 64.14 dollars.
He Oro falls a -0.65% to $4,595 per ounce.
The pair EUR/USD also falls a -0.08% a 1.1601.
Bitcoin in the same tune with a -0.17% to $95,366.
The 10-year US bond yield upload a +1.59% a 4.227 already 30 years +1.07% to 4,837.