Cardano (ADA) has not been able to remove the weekend downtrend and spread the losses during these three days by adding a 1.5% drop this Tuesday. In this scenario, cryptocurrency analyst CryptoClue has indicated in X that he is still trying to overcome a falling wedge pattern according to Arnold Kirimi en The Coin Republic.
However, network activity is looking stronger. He chain volume has increased for two consecutive weeks and continues to increase thanks to the release of MidnightCardano’s privacy-focused sidechain. For this reason, there is a growing number of new users and increasing user activity.
Unfortunately, this has not strengthened confidence in the market, as traders remain cautious amid pressure from the bears on the bulls. Meanwhile, futures data suggests sellers are still in control.
This imbalance suggests that traders are still leaning toward downside risk, despite the recent surge in network usage.
Expert Cardano Price Prediction of 40% Still at Risk
Activity in the Cardano ecosystem picked up sharply in December following the launch of the sidechain Midnight. He transaction volume reached a monthly high on December 10, reaching 19.74 million dollars.
Meanwhile, CryptoClue is convinced that the price of ADA could extend its 40% rise, based on their latest Cardano price prediction.
Momentum remained strong through the weekend. The data of TapTools show that the trading volume amounted to 16.11 million dollars on Sunday. This marked a clear leap from the 6.39 million dollars registered the previous day, which highlights the renewed participation in the network.
Las unique trading portfolios also increased in December, reaching a monthly maximum of 3,150. By Sunday, that figure stood at 2.200showing that participation remained well above previous levels.
However, the sentiment in the derivatives market reveals a different story about Cardano price predictions. Operators continue to adopt a defensive posturewhich reinforces the bearish bias.
A Closer Analysis of ADA Price Outlook
The data of CoinGlass show that the Open interest in ADA futures fell 1.57% in the last 24 hours, until 666.25 million dollars. This movement points to the closing of positions and lower leverage.
At the same time, the financing rates remain negative. The financing rate weighted by open interest is at -0.0079%, indicating that traders are willing to pay a premium to hold short positions.
Meanwhile, the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading within a falling wedge on the daily log chart, defined by two converging trend lines.
The fall of 1.5% could extend the losses from Saturday and Sunday. However, any efforts by the bulls to continue buying could lead to gains similar to those on Friday, when ADA/USD rose a 7%.
If the altcoin maintains the current momentum, ADA price could rise and test the main trend line near $0.4350.
This will connect two crucial maxims for Cardano price: October 27 and December 9, 2025.
Furthermore, selling pressure has also eased, with the RSI rising to the oversold zone at 38 and the MACD approaching a bullish crossover.
On the other hand, Cardano price has also found support around $0.3415 on the lower trend line of its falling wedge, a level that traders consider a possible short term minimum.
Cardano It is trading in the red at midday on Wednesday at $0.3563. The 70 and 200 period moving averages remain above the price, RSI is down at 35 points and the MACD lines are below the zero level.
Medium-term support is at $0.346. Meanwhile, Ei indicators are mixed.