What do Bill Gates, Elon Musk or Sam Altman have in common? The three agree on being billionaires, believing in AI and, above all, they love playing to guess the future. Every time they make statements (which they do continuously), they always tend to foresee what will happen. In the case of the founder of Microsoft, it has been doing it for years.
No one doubts about the talent that the businessman converted in Philanthropist had to completely revolutionize the world of computer science, but not always right in the rest. For example, it does not convince young people when he speaks of two -day working days, and not all experts are clear that artificial intelligence will be so beneficial how he always says.
Bill Gates and his great prediction
It was in May 2024 when Bill Gates made one of his most daring statements. The famous magnate He had no qualms about ensuring that, in just a year and a half, artificial intelligence would be able to overcome humans when performing any type of taskeven a cognitive. Now, being just a few months for your expiring deadline, reality seems to be another.
Why did Bill Gates say what he said? Well, first of Microsoft’s father has always had great confidence in this technology. And it also seems that the relative advances experienced by language models such as GPT-4 influenced. The truth is that Bill Gates even talked about the proximity of general artificial intelligence, just like Sam Altman.
At the moment, there is nothing that suggests that general artificial intelligence is closer to what was a year ago, for example. In fact, the occasional expert has already warned that People can wait for her with open arms, because she won’t arrive, will never come true. At least, the way the majority expects to take shape.
Thus, many of Gates’ most ambitious predictions have not been fully fulfilled. While AI has improved in various fields -assisting in medical diagnoses, automating repetitive tasks, and things more or less like style -has not yet reached the level of deep understanding and mental flexibility that characterizes humans. That, if you can ever reach it.
A vision of the future does not completely precise
Why has Bill Gates wrong the shot? One of the main reasons looks like the gap between technical demonstrations and practical implementation. Many tools based on AI show impressive results in controlled conditions, but still face challenges when they face changing environments or open tasks. The opposite of what Gates said.
For example, current language models continue to make logic errors, have difficulty maintaining coherence in long texts, and can be easily deceived with malicious or ambiguous questions. However, there are still a few months ahead. Will the millionaire prediction become a reality?
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Tags: Artificial Intelligence, Bill Gates