Bitcoin is decoupling from risk assets

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By Berto R

Bitcoin (BTC) takes a turn and breaks its correlation with risk assets, reaching $ 90,000, something that contrasts with the sustained fall of the Nasdaq technological index.

While Traditional markets face winds against, digital currency emerges as a point of interest amid financial uncertainty and politics.

This movement, which includes an increase of 7% in its price during the last weekask questions about Bitcoin’s role in a volatile economic environment.

Market divergence

At the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin and Nasdaq showed some synchrony, with ascending movements in December and January, followed by a bearish correlation in early April, as can be seen in the graph.

BTC and Nasdaq performance so far from 2025. Source: TrainingView.

However, since the end of February, the roads of both markets began to separate. While Nasdaq experiences a significant fall, Bitcoin has shown greater volatility, but managed to stay in a higher range, culminating the period with a positive gain.

On the current day, the digital currency touched $ 91,000, its maximum in a month, After registering an increase of 7% in the last seven days.

After reaching a peak at the end of 2024 or early 2025, the Nasdaq entered a marked and sustained bearish trend that continued during March and April.

At the end of the period shown in the graph, the index records a significant loss, falling 13.91%. This behavior contrasts markedly with that of Bitcoin in the same periodwhich underlines the downward pressures that have affected the technological sector during these months.

Why is Nasdaq a risk market?

Among traditional indices, Nasdaq is historically considered the most risky, but also the one that offers greater long -term potential returns.

This market is composed mainly of technology and growth companies, such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla and others. These companies usually have greater volatility due to their sensitivity to innovations, changes in interest rates, growth expectations and macroeconomic conditions.

Many of these companies reinvest their profits instead of paying dividends, which makes them more speculative and risky.

For their part, other traditional assets have also faced difficulties. The DXY index, which measures the US dollar in front of a basket of fiduciary coins, fell to 98 points, Its lowest level in three years, placing 40% below its historical maximum of 163 points recorded four decades ago.

GRAPH OF THE US DOLLARING.
American dollar price. Source: TrainingView.

This context of weakness in traditional markets has coincided with a growing interest in Bitcoin, since it is stopping with correlation with risk assets, as it has normally behaved, and is more in tune with gold.

Tariff war and its impact

Bitcoin’s behavior has remained solid in a market affected by the escalation of commercial tensions.

As Cryptonoticias reported on April 2, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, implemented a regime of reciprocal tariffs on imports from almost 60 countries, which later suspended for 90 days, except China. The measure resulted in a series of adjustments, with American tariffs up to 145% about Chinese exports and a pekin response with 125% levies.

Although Bitcoin faced initial pressure after the announcement of the tariffs, reaching $ 74,000, the currency has resisted, consolidating as an asset of interest.

In contrast, gold, considered the main asset of shelter, continues its unstoppable ascent, reaching a new historical maximum of $ 3,500 per ounce in the current day.

Gold price chart.
Gold price. Source: TrainingView.

Bitcoin takes strength as an active refuge

The recent bitcoin decoupling with actions has fueled the expectations that it can be consolidated as an active refuge.

Factors such as its supply shortage, decentralized mining and the recent inclusion of Bitcoin in the United States reserves reinforce this narrative.

In addition, investors, exhausted by the volatility of traditional assets, seem be exploring options less linked to corporate profits or federal reserve policies.

Likewise, the possibility of a more favorable regulatory environment and political ads to support cryptocurrencies could be promoting the price of Bitcoin, which reached $ 90,000 and touched a peak of $ 91,000 in the current day.

Bitcoin price chart.
Bitcoin price in the last week. Source: TrainingView.

This combination of factors are those that lead to that Bitcoin is digital gold, although the currency still does not reach the status of the precious metal as the main refuge.

An uncertain horizon

As Bitcoin strengthens in a market beaten by uncertainty, Its recent performance, with a 7% increase in seven days and a price that touches $ 91,000, suggests a change in the perception of investors.

The currency has not only resisted turbulence, but has capitalized the discontent with traditional assets. However, the path to its consolidation as a safe shelter still faces challenges, especially in a context where gold continues to dominate.

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