Bitcoin to 2.9 Million Dollars by 2050 according to VanEck

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By Berto R

  • Bitcoin’s annual volatility remains high, between 40% and 70%.

  • By 2050, Bitcoin could settle up to 10% of global trade.

VanEck, the investment firm specializing in digital assets, projects that Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million in 2050, according to its long-term analysis of the capital market. The firm estimates a compound annual growth (CAGR) of 15% in its base scenario, driven by its adoption as a global payment method and reserve asset for central banks.

According to VanEck, by 2050 Bitcoin could settle between 5% and 10% of global trade and represent around 2.5% of central bank balance sheetsconsolidating itself as an institutional monetary instrument. Even in a conservative scenario, the firm projects that its price could remain at $130,000, showing that the asset already incorporates significant value at current levels.

Study Underlines Short-Term Bitcoin Price Action Continues being sensitive to global liquidity cycles and leverage in futures, but that its long-term value will depend mainly on institutional adoption and its integration as a reserve asset. Signals such as Relative Unrealized Profit (RUP) or futures funding rates can help manage tactical risk for investors entering the market during 2026.

VanEck chart showing open interest in Bitcoin futures versus its price. Source: www.vaneck.com

Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier

VanEck’s analysis also highlights that Bitcoin works as a portfolio diversifier. Estimated annual volatility is between 40% and 70%, comparable to leading technology stocks, but its correlation with stocks, bonds and gold is historically low, while maintaining a negative relationship with the US dollar in the long term.

This makes it an asset that can protect against monetary devaluation and the risks of the sovereign debt system, as reported by NoticiasVE.

In summary, VanEck presents a panorama in which Bitcoin goes from being a speculative asset to a global monetary instrumentwith significant growth potential and a strategic role in diversified portfolios, especially in a context of high sovereign debt and volatility of traditional markets.

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