The main memecoin of the market, Dogecoin (Doge), consolidated a trend change with a price increase during the last week, reaching $ 0.26 (USD).
Until a month ago, Dogecoin maintained a marked bear trend since the beginning of 2025. However, after touching the USD 0.13 at the beginning of April, its lowest level in six months, began to show a sustained consolidation in increasingly high contributions.
Last Sunday, it reached the USD 0.26, its maximum price in three months, and since then it has formed a higher weekly support around the USD 0.22. This dynamic confirms a change in market behavior, offering a positive signal for the continuity of the bullish impulse.
In addition, with this rise, the 10 -day exponential mobile average (EMA) remains above 20 days, having crossed it up to the end of April, as cryptootics reported. This reflects a strength signal from the technical analysis.
The relevance of this technical signal is that, when the 10 -day EMA exceeds and remains above 20, it indicates that The short -term impulse is gaining strength. In practical terms, he suggests that buyers are dominating the market in an increasingly sustained way.
The last time such a cross was produced was in January. However, on that occasion, the 10 -day EMA failed to stay over 20, and the price weakened again.
In contrast, the current crossing takes more time and remains firm, which shows a sign of greater strength in the current market behavior. This can be seen in the following graph.
To put it in perspective, the last time the 10 -day EMA remained lasting above 20 was from October until the beginning of 2025, which was characterized by a substantial price increase. If this pattern continues, it is expected that Doge will continue to win impulse.
Macroeconomic context and correlation with other markets
Dogecoin’s trend change a month ago did not occur in isolation. This movement was corrected with American cryptocurrencies and actions, after President Donald Trump announced a pause in tariffs that had imposed on imports.
The severity of the rates had generated fears of an inflationary increase and a possible recession in the US economy. Therefore, its suspension relieved the market and reactivated the appetite for risk assets such as cryptocurrencieswhich was then accentuated with the advances of international tariff negotiations.
The acceleration of the Doge rise last week, in tune with the risk assets, occurred after the decision of the Federal Reserve (FED) to keep interest rates without changes without adopting a more aggressive tone about future decisions. This held the expectations that the two cuts that the Central Bank projects for this year are completed.
To these factors it was added that The Trump government announced the first tariff international agreements. And the president himself declared: «They better leave and buy actions now», a phrase that promoted the optimism of the stock market and also had an impact on cryptocurrencies.
It can be considered, anyway, that despite this scenario, Doge continues to exhibit a remarkable weakness against Bitcoin (BTC), which rebounded to USD 105,000, leaving 5% of its historical maximum of USD 109,000 registered three months ago.
In contrast, Doge is quoted 67% below the historical record of USD 0.73 that reached in the previous bitcoin upward cycle in 2021. And it is 52% of the maximum of the current cycle, which was USD 0.42 at the end of 2024, as seen below.
Even so, Dogecoin remains as the eighth cryptoactive with the greatest market capitalization and the first within the Memecoins niche, with which Before an improvement in the risk asset environment, it could be benefited from being the most popular cryptocurrencies.
Speculative interest grows, although the impulse can slow
According to on-chain data of the Glassnode explorer, The open interest in future Dogecoin contracts continues to grow significantly. In the last week, the total amount in open positions rose 63.9%, from USD 989 million to USD 1,620 million.
Glassnode points out that this increase in open interest, even when the price impulse was moderated after touching the USD 0.26, «suggests a persistent speculative positioning that should be followed closely.»
In short, Dogecoin has left its weakness with technical and fundamental signals in favor. However, its sustainability will depend on external conditions, such as Fed decisions and political-commercial landscape, remain favorable, and that speculative appetite does not lead to abrupt correction.
What are the following prices that will play Doge?
If a generalized demand is maintained in the cryptocurrency market, it is expected that Doge’s price will recover the USD 0.30. This is the level closest to the current quotation that he held for a long time in his recent past. Precisely, such an area worked as a strong support from December to February.
An exacerbation of the risk appet. In this scenario, it is possible that the market tries to reach USD 0.50, which could be a psychological area of gain resistance, as well as USD 0.60 and USD 0.70 to continue on the rise.
Historically, during the end of each bitcoin bullish cycle, an Altseason was formed, a season in which the Altcoins record better performance than BTC. If this pattern is repeated, the probability of Dogecoin grows reaching new maximum historical prices, above USD 1, a goal expected by its enthusiasts since the last cycle.
However, with the maturation of the market through the passage of time, there is the possibility that this cycle is not like others. While Bitcoin’s upward foundations gain more and more solidity among investors, those of Altcoins seem to fade.
Different is this from the past cycle of cryptocurrencies, when narratives abounded like «Ethereum was the next bitcoin» or that «Dogecoin went to the moon.» Today, there is no massive group that says something like that.
Instead, what grows is the conviction that BTC is a strategic reserve for an investment portfolio and that Altcoins respond to short -term speculation. The great variety of cryptocurrencies and tokens that compete with each other and their sustained lack of use propitiate this scenario.
Therefore, It would not be logical to expect an exaggerated climb to doge like that of more than 20,000% occurred in the last bullish cycle. In an optimistic case, the objective of USD 1 must exceed, which would imply an appreciation of more than 300% from its current levels.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin does not reach much higher levels than his current record this year, he is most likely that Doge’s impulse is limited. With luck, you will recover the USD 0.70 in such a stage.
The improvement of the macroeconomic environment, while the idea of Bitcoin grows as «strategic reserve» and «digital gold», feeds the possibility of its continuity at new maximum historical prices this year. However, if there are changes that break this panorama, the trend could change, carrying its price to a correction.
When Bitcoin falls, Altcoins usually go back more severity, so it is key to consider these risks in Dogecoin, if the bullish parameters do not support themselves. While the current context has returned to paint well for risk assets, everything can quickly change to political decisions, so you should always be prepared.
Discharge of responsibility: The views and opinions expressed in this article belong to its author and do not necessarily reflect those of cryptootics. The author’s opinion is informatively and under no circumstances constitutes an investment recommendation or financial advice.