He escalation of conflict in the Middle East with the risk to interrupt the energy supply continues to overshadow the stock markets on Wall Street. Without forgetting a new attempt at the oil price rebound. Given this, the DOW JONES Ind Average, S&P 500 y NASDAQ 100 they continue with the falls in a -1.56% to 46,677 points, -1.52% to 6,672 and -1.78% to 22,311 points respectively.
Irak closed its oil port terminals after the attacks on two oil tankers off its coast. Iran warned markets to prepare for the crude oil prices reach $200while its new leader stated that the Strait of Hormuz should remain cerrado according to Yahoo Finance. The developments stoked fears of a prolonged and widespread conflict, already underway after President Trump vowed to «finish the job» in Iran.
Continuing with energy news, the large cap energy stocks they reach a historical maximum amid biggest two-day jump in five weeks according to Yahoo Finance.
He S&P Select Energy SPDR Fund ETF (XLE) has been on a roll for two days, rising a 4.5% and reaching its 15th record intraday high of 2026.
The movement on XLE began long before the latest war headlines. In Januarythe fund finally broke out of a gigantic trading range that had been brewing for more than two decades, after three attempts to break through the $45 to $50 zone.
The Reserva Federal (FED) anticipated changes in Key capital requirements for bankswhich would slightly reduce its cash reserves, keeping them above the levels established in 2019 according to Yahoo Finance.
The FED Vice President of Supervision, Michelle Bowmanwho is expected to present a formal proposal for a regulatory framework next week on what is known as Basel IIIstated that this will result in a small increase in requirements for largest US bankssimilar to the levels required in the United Kingdombut that the capital surcharge applied to larger banks such as JPMorgan Chase y Goldman Sachs. The reasoning, he explained, is that the increases were greater than the risk that the banks assumed.
Together, both changes would slightly reduce the cash reserve that the FED requires from banks.
Continuing with the FED, the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next president has been hampered by the Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican who sits on the Banking Committee, who opposes any appointment while the election is in progress criminal investigation into Jerome Powell, current president of the entityaccording to Investing.
He Department of Justice is conducting a criminal investigation into Powell in connection with her June 2025 testimony regarding $2.5 billion in cost overruns in Fed building renovations.
Tillis’ position could prevent Warsh from receiving a Senate confirmation vote to lead the central bank until Powell retires at the end of his term in January.
Powell claimed that the Justice Department’s criminal investigation resulted from him and other members of the FED board nThey started to cut interest rates so quickly and drastically as Trump demanded.
In corporate news, Rivian Auto Rg-A stated that the most affordable version of the R2a Standard equipment variant with a starting price of around $45,000will not reach customers until the end of 2027at the earliest according to Yahoo Finance. This means that those who want to purchase the cheaper R2 will have to wait almost two years.
The electric vehicle maker is betting that the R2 will dramatically expand its customer base by offering its adventure-focused design and technology at a more affordable price, although two more expensive versions will be launched this year.
The R2 Performance with Launch Package will have a starting price of $57,990 and it is the highest equipment level. It has all-wheel drive with two motors that generates 656 horsepower and 609 lb-ft of torque, accelerating the R2 from 0 to 60 mph in just 3.6 seconds.
Regarding economic data we had the Atlanta Fed GPDNow (Q1) with a result of 2.7% compared to the expected 2.1%.
We also had 4-week debt auction (T-Bill) with a yield of 3,640%, 8 week bonuses 3.625% y 30-year public debt (T-Bond) 4.871%.
Among the winning actions we have Linde (+1.84% to 490.41 dollars), CF Industries Hl (+13.25% to $136.05) and Chevron (+2.71% to $196.99)
Linde rises after a initial analysis of space launch opportunity for industrial gases on the part of UBS Group Naccording to Investing. The bank estimates that the demand for propellants for space launches will grow at a compound annual growth rate of about 50%, driven primarily by the increase in larger rocket launches.
Propellants for space launches currently represent among the 1% and 2% of overall sales from Linde. UBS projects that this growth could add between 50 and 100 basis points volume growth annually in the medium term.
CF Industries continues to rise due to the conflict in the Middle East due to, as we said yesterday, the increase in the price of fertilizers. Particularly due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuzaccording to Investing.
“Many fertilizers are transported through the Strait of Hormuz, including a third of global urea exports,” according to Yardeni Research.
Chevron rises after the statements of Piper Sandler to raise the price of integrated oil firms on an average of 25% after the rise in the price of oil, according to Investing.
Piper Sandler updated estimates for integrated oil companies based on curva forward actual para 2026 of approximately 76 dollars per barrel WTI and the new price of oil at mid-cycle $75 per barrel by 2027 onwards. The firm sees upside potential for 37% in the estimates of profits for the first quarter of 2026 and of 16% in the estimates of full year 2026led by Chevron, Exxon Mobil y ConocoPhillips.
Among the losing stocks we have MercadoLibre (-4.86% to $1,680.27), Qnity Elect (-7.96% to $107.02) and Goldman Sachs Gr (-4.46% to $787.05)
MercadoLibre falls after a rating downgrade on the part of JPMorgan a neutral and cut the price target to $2,100 due to the persistence of competition in Brazil and the expectations that margins will remain under pressure as the company continues to invest in growth, according to Investing.
Competition in Brazil has not diminished, while MercadoLibre has signaled its willingness to accept lower margins in the short term while prioritizing investment.
Sea Limited’s e-commerce unit, Shopeecontinues to seek growth in Brazil even if it requires sacrificing margins.
Recent statements from Shopee suggest that the company plans reinvest savings derived from changes in its commission structure in discounts linked to Brazil’s instant payments system, Pix.
JPMorgan reduced its profitability outlook after the statements of the financial director of MercadoLibre indicating that the company is comfortable with margins of around 9% in the short term. Analysts cut their 2026 margin estimate by 8.8% and now they hope that earnings before interest and taxes there are approximately one 15% below consensus forecasts for 2026 and about a 24% below expectations in first quarter of 2026.
Qnity Electrics falls despite having inaugurated a 35,741-square-foot manufacturing facility in Newark, Delawarewith a ribbon cutting ceremony attended by the Delaware Governor Matt Meyerand other officials, according to a company press release shared by Investing.
The facility houses a new manufacturing line that produces components for chemical-mechanical planarization pads (CMP), which are polishing discs used to smooth the surfaces of chips during semiconductor manufacturing. The company stated that it is a leader in CMP’s global supply chain.
Goldman Sachs falls before the rise in US Treasury yields and increased market volatility, according to Quiver Quantitative. This creates a mode «risk-off» in which investors sell financial stocks.
When yields rise:
- Financing becomes more expensive
- Risk appetite falls
- Banks usually correct together with the sector
Los Oil futures WTI they go up a +10.43% to $96.35 and the Brent +9.96% at 101.14 dollars.
He Oro falls a -1.60% to $5,096 per ounce and the Plata -0.97% to 84.73 dollars.
The pair EURUSD falls a -0.47% a 1.1513.
Bitcoin falls a -0.38% to 70,406 dollars.
He US 10-year bond yield they go up a +1.38% a 4.265 already 30 years +0.51% to 4,881.
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