Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq recover at the close after private employment payrolls

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By Jack Ferson

Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq recover at the close after private employment payrolls

Wall Street get to breathe this Wednesday after private employment payrolls more solid than expected with 63,000 jobs in Februaryexceeding economists’ estimates of 50,000. However, analysts and investors continue the evolution of the conflict in the Middle East. Given this, the DOW JONES Ind Average, S&P 500 y NASDAQ 100 recover at the close of Wednesday in a +0.49% to 48,739 points, +0.78% to 6,869 points and +1.29% to 22,807 points respectively.

The center of fears in the Middle East is due to a Prolonged closure of the Strait of Oromuz amid explosive statements from Donald Trump that it could be extended to more than the expected four weeks.

For this reason, Trump declared on Tuesday that the United States would provide insurance and escorts for oil tankers to try to restore traffic through the strait, stalled by threats from Iran according to Yahoo Finance. However, insurance analysts say the measure may not be as effective as expected. The promise of safe passage came as rising oil prices threatened to trigger inflationwhich limited the room for maneuver for interest rate cuts in the United States.

In corporate news Bank of America (BofA) has re-established coverage on the shares of Teslawith a recommendation of buy and a bullish outlook on the robotaxi and autonomous driving with a target price in 460 dollarsaccording to Yahoo Finance.

«We view Tesla as the current leader in consumer autonomy,» he wrote. Alexander Perry. «Esperamos que Tesla se convierta rápidamente en líder en servicios de robotaxis, dada su capacidad para escalar de forma más rentable que la competencia».

Automotive 2.0with Tesla at the helm.

Next with BofA, the Analyst Aditya Bhave has referred to the stimulation of Ley One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBBA)which has been reflected more in lower tax obligations than higher refunds. Which delays expected increases in consumer spending, according to Yahoo Finance.

“The OBBBA, signed into law in July 2025 by President Trump, is expected to provide “$140 billion in stimulus to consumer spending”Bhave said, “but the way it is happening is different from what was planned.”

According to BofA, those expecting to receive tax refunds typically file them at the beginning of the year. Como inicialmente se esperaba que el estímulo se reflejara en mayores reembolsos, el banco había estimado que los efectos se verían en el gasto del consumidor del primer trimestre.

“En cambio, el estímulo se está reflejando en menores obligaciones fiscales, y quienes prevén adeudar impuestos suelen presentarlos más tarde en la temporada”, explicó Bhave. As a result, BofA estimates that the consumer spending driven by the stimulus will increase much more in the second trimester than in the first.

«Dado que el gasto en enero-febrero probablemente también se verá distorsionado por las tormentas invernales, los inversores deberían ignorar cualquier posible debilidad en el gasto del primer trimestre», afirmó Bhave. «The stimulus is delayed, not dead.»

Inter alia economic data we had the February Services PMI with a 51.7 compared to the expected 52.3, February S&P Global Composite PMI with a 51.9 compared to the expected 52.3, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI February with a 56.1 compared to the expected 53.5, ISM employment index in the non-manufacturing sector with 51.8 compared to the previous 50.3, ISM non-manufacturing sector price index with a 63.0 compared to the expected 68.3, IEA crude oil inventories with 3,475M compared to 3,000M expected and IEA’s weekly Cushing crude oil inventories with 1.564M compared to the previous 0.881M.

Among the winning actions we have Strategy Rg-A (+10.36% to 146.42 dollars), Modern (+16.07% to $57.84) and Amazon (+3.84% to $216.74)

Microstrategy rises in the heat of advances in the price of Bitcoin like the rest of the stocks in the sector.

Modern goes up after the resolution of the dispute over the patents of its COVID-19 vaccine as we pointed out in the opening. The pharmaceutical company has agreed pay Genevant Sciences, a subsidiary of Roivant Sciences, and Arbutus Biopharma up to $2.25 billion to resolve a long-running legal dispute over the technology that made its vaccine possible. Specifically, it will pay $950 million upfront in July 2026, with an additional $1.3 billion depending on the outcome of a separate legal appeal.

Amazon rises after announcing cuts in its robotics division de Business Insider shared by Investing.

Scott Dresser, vice president of Amazon Roboticsinformed employees Tuesday that the cuts were difficult but necessary. He said robotics remains a strategic priority for the company despite the restructuring.

The number of employees affected by Tuesday’s reductions was not disclosed. An Amazon spokesperson confirmed that the company eliminated a relatively small number of robotics positions this week.

Among the losing stocks we have Baker Hughes Rg-A (-2.69% to 60.86 dollars), Brown NVtgRg-B (-6.59% to $26.28) and Chevron (-1.46% to 186.01 dollars)

Baker Hughes falls due to a report that the company plans to issue up to $10 billion in cross-border bonds to finance its acquisition of Chart Industriesaccording to Investing. Esto puede generar preocupación por la dilución de capital, aumento de deuda y costos financieros, lo que presiona el precio de las acciones a la baja.

A report of Bloomberg News He added that Baker Hughes has tasked the banks, led by Goldman Sachs Gr y Morgan Stanleyto organize meetings with investors on Wednesday.

There could subsequently be a issuance of bonds denominated in euros and dollarsaccording to the report.

Brown falls after a conference call in which he foresees «headwind of two years» in costs and gross margin, according to Investing. Without forgetting the third quarter results 2026 with a EPS of $0.580.11 dollars better than expected, since an EPS of 0.47 dollars was expected. The income of the quarter stood at 1.06B dollarscompared to a forecast of 1B dollars.

Chevron falls due to crisis in the Middle East with the closing of Oromuz Strait as a triggering factor for correction.

Before closing with the rest of the quotes, the technical analyst of Investment Strategies José Antonio González shares with us an analysis of the Nasdaq Mini Futures:

Futuro Mini NASDAQ 100 (NQ) en escala diaria con volatilidad (gráfico central superior), MACD (gráfico central inferior) y actividad de contratación (ventana inferior). Source: ProRealTime and own elaboration.

Los Oil futures WTI upload a +1.11% at $75.39 and the Brent +0.49% at 81.80 dollars.

He Oro upload a +0.54% to $5,151 per ounce and the Plata +0.12% to $83.57.

The pair EURUSD upload a +0.22% a 1.1637.

Bitcoin upload a +7.38% to $73,083.

Los US 10-year bond yields upload a +1.04% a 4.098 already 30 years +0.43% to 4,723.

You can follow more analysis at estrategiasdeinversion.com

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