In recent years, Spain has been marked by a succession of crisis that have tested their response capacity. From the pandemic that paralyzed the country, to the Dana that struck hard, as well as the recent electric blackout, the largest of its history.
However, none of these threats is, according to Openai’s artificial intelligence, the most worrying in the future. Chatgpt raises a different scenario, less loud but potentially devastating for all inhabitants.
«The greatest plausible risk for Spain is an extreme climate event aggravated by climate change, which would not only put environmental balance at risk,» summarizes AI.
It is a warning that does not respond to a specific predictionbut of the combination of trends already visible, such as environmental changes, pressure on resources, social imbalances and public management that, in many cases, has failed to anticipate.
What type of catastrophe does IA refer to?
It should be noted that when talking about a climatic crisis, it is not about imagining a storm or a fire, the chatbot mentions three phenomena with real potential to seriously affect Spain in the coming years: a megeasequía, a heat wave, or uncontrolled forest fires.
«The combination of record temperatures, lack of water and pressure on urban areas can generate not only environmental consequences, but also social and economic of large scale,» says Chatgpt.
This would result in lost crops, water stress in large cities, electrical risk due to demand peaks and A great increase in social tension due to access to basic resources. That is, a natural phenomenon with chain effects.
The problem is not only heat or drought itself, but how they interact with other factors: poorly adapted urban areas, saturated electrical systems or obsolete hydraulic networks. In that context, a warmer summer than usual could be enough to put in check to entire territories.
According to AI, the risk is not distributed equally throughout Europe, and that is that the country, due to its geographical position and its climatic characteristics, It is one of the countries most exposed to global warming. And he doesn’t say so for heat.
The south, the east and a good part of the peninsular center are already at high risk of desertification. The rains are increasingly irregular, The average temperatures do not stop rising and the ground loses the ability to retain water. To this is added the pressure of tourism and the agricultural sector on increasingly exploited aquifers.
As if that were not enough, water management is still fragmented between communities, hindering a coordinated response. In short, there is an accumulation of factors that makes Spain a territory especially exposed to the effects of climate change.
It is not just climate: the effects reach the economy and society
The consequences of a climatic catastrophe of this type are not limited to the environmentbut the impact on the country’s social and economic fabric could be deep. Prolonged water cuts, rise in prices in basic products, rural population displacements to safer urban areas … All of that enters a plausible scenario.
«The climatic crisis can destabilize not only ecosystems, but also social relations and daily economy,» warns chatgpt.
What begins as an environmental problem can lead to territorial tensions, internal migrations and greater inequality between regions. In the end, the consequences would not be uniform, since the most fragile areas, and with less response capacity, would suffer more, and this would be terrible.
More than a prediction, what IA raises is a warning based on data already available. And the worrying thing is not so much what may happen, but much of Risk factors are already present.
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«The threat does not come from a single phenomenon, but from the accumulation of problems that have not been addressed for years,» summarizes AI. That is, bad urban planning, unfortunate management of resources, excessive pressure on ecosystems or infrastructure without modernizing.
In other words, the catastrophe of a megeasequía, a heat wave, or uncontrolled forest fires would not be a surprise, but the result of not having done what we needed when we were still on time.
It is important to mention that Chatgpt’s message does not seek to alarm, but anticipate. And he does it with a warning of acting as soon as possible, because the risk is identified, the data exist and the tools are available. What is missing is the will and coordination of the government.
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Tags: Artificial intelligence