Signals: Why did the price of Bitcoin collapsed and how will 2025 end?

Bitcoin investors (BTC) and cryptocurrencies began 2025 with great expectations. With the confirmation that Donald Trump would be the next president of the United States, and with his new Pro-Bitcoin position, everything seemed ready for the price of BTC to shoot at new heights, in a kind of «bull-run infinite».

In those days, analysts of the investment firm, Bernstein, predicted that Bitcoin would reach 200,000 days this year.

With a little more moderation, but at the same time with great optimism, the trading specialist, Iván Paz Chain, commented that $ 140,000 per BTC was his target price.

Michael Saylor, president of Strategy (at that time called «Microstrategy»), had said that – according to his prediction – Bitcoin would go to $ 180,000 in 2025, and then have a large fall to the $ 140,000 area. When that happened, Saylor predicted that people «would go crazy.»

All that great expectation had spread like a virus throughout the bitcoiner ecosystem. 2025 was definitely destined to be the year of the «super bullish cycle» for BTC.

But … what happened later? As can be seen in the image below, that enthusiasm failed to stay (or, at least, it failed to cause demand to overcome the supply).

As can be seen in the image, at the time of this publication Bitcoin today marked its lowest price so far from 2025.

So what is lying to the price of Bitcoin? There are macroeconomic and political factors that play a determining role. One of the most relevant is the tariff war promoted by Donald Trump’s administration.

While Trump had promised a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies, their commercial policies have generated an adverse effect on financial markets, including volatile assets such as Bitcoin.

The war of tariffs, which includes the imposition of strong levies to imports from countries such as China and the European Union, has unleashed global uncertainty.

Due to these tariffs, there is a risk that international companies see their profit margins fall and production costs rise. For such reasons, investors have begun to seek refuge in more traditional assets, such as treasure bonds or even the US dollar, which remains perceived as a stability bastion in times of turbulence.

In this context, volatile markets – technological actions, speculative raw materials and, yes, also bitcoin – have suffered significant bearish pressure.

Far from being a catalyst for the «super bullish cycle,» Trump’s policies have contributed to a climate of caution that even affects the assets he himself says.

To this is added the position of The United States Federal Reserve (Fed)that – as cryptootics he has reported – has made it clear that He is in no hurry to lower interest rates.

In recent years, high rates have been a key tool to control inflation, but have also increased access to credit and reduced liquidity in markets.

When money is expensive and scarce, investors tend to get away from assets considered «risk» as bitcoin, preferring options that offer more predictable yields or that are backed by government guarantees.

The Fed, in its latest statements, has indicated that rates could be kept high until there are clear signs that inflation is under total control, which could be extended for several more months in 2025.

This scenario is a hard blow for Bitcoin, which has historically prospered in cheap money and high liquidity environments, as happened during the massive stimuli of the pandemic.

But there is something else at stake here: market perception about what Bitcoin is. For the most passionate bitcoiners, BTC is «digital gold», an asset designed to be a long -term value reserve, immune to inflation and the manipulation of central banks.

However, the market in general does not see it that way. Despite its technical foundations and their libertarian narrative, Bitcoin is still treated as a risk assetcorrelated with traditional indices such as S&P 500 or Nasdaq.

When the bags fall, Bitcoin tends to fall with them; When global uncertainty increases, investors do not run towards BTC as they would with physical gold, but leave it in favor of more conventional shelters. This correlation, which many bitcoiners consider unfair, is a reality that has been evidenced in 2025.

Firm and go ahead, Bitcoiners!

From the bitcoiner perspective, This moment of weakness is not a defeat, but an opportunity.

Low prices are a gift for those who believe in Bitcoin’s long -term potential. In the slang of the community, This is a chance to «accumulate more sats» (Satoshis, the smallest unit of BTC) At bargain prices.

Because, although the market does not recognize it yet, Bitcoin’s foundations are still intact: its offer limited to 21 million units, its decentralization that makes it resistant to censorship, its security supported by a global network of nodes and miners, and its design as a monetary system that does not depend on intermediaries or the will of governments.

These characteristics are those that will eventually make the world «arouse» and understand the true power of Bitcoin.

When that day comes – and for believers it is a matter of «when», not «yes» – the price of BTC will explode upwards, leaving behind Saylor’s, Bernstein and Paz Chain predictions as mere conservative reference points.

Those who have taken advantage of these low prices to accumulate will be in a privileged position. Because, deep down, Bitcoiner dream is not just about fast profits, but about being part of a financial revolution that promises to change the rules of the game.

For now, the market can continue to see Bitcoin as a speculative asset, but for its defenders, Each fall is just a step towards a future where its value will be indisputable.

We have patience, but … how long?

And, to all this, the big question is … When will the bugy impulse for Bitcoin return? Of course, predicting the future with absolute certainty is impossible, but, allow me a «prophecy»: The bitcoin upward cycle has not ended with this correction and in 2025 new historical maximum prices will be seen.

What supports this optimistic vision in a context of stagnant prices? It is not about blind faith, but there are concrete evidence that points to a rebound.

First, the historial post-halving de bitcoin It offers clear clues. The last halving occurred in April 2024, and the previous cycles show that the upward peaks usually arrive between 12 and 18 months later. If this pattern is repeated, in 2025 we could see new records, possibly exceeding $ 110,000.

Besides, Institutional adoption —FAVED for the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States in 2024 – remains firm. With more and more companies incorporating BTC in their treasury (many of them following a strategy similar to that of Strategy, by Michael Saylor) there is a constant buying pressure that in a way stabilizes Bitcoin and prevents it from having much larger falls.

As a bitcoin factor, the growing emission of fíat money worldwide. As cryptootics reported it, the world money supply has reached historical maximums, with central banks injecting billion to stabilize economies hit by commercial conflicts and deceleration. This excess Fíat liquidity, which devalues ​​the traditional currencies, could be the catalyst that drives investors to Bitcoin when Trump’s tariff uncertainty is attenuated and the fees of the Fed eventually cedan (things that could happen later, this year).

If we add the Trump pro-descriptomonets promises «As a clear regulatory framework that could be realized before 2026,» the land is prepared for takeoff.

The current correction does not mark the end of the cycle, but a pause before the next great movement. All data mentioned here point to the same: Probably 2025 still has new maximums for Bitcoinand those who resist the storm will be ready to harvest the fruits.

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