Until relatively not long, the executives of large companies avoided giving their opinion or getting wet on the real impact of artificial intelligence on the world of work, for what they will say or the future of their own company.
However, This has just changed and Jim Farley, head of Ford, has decided to speak clearly and bluntly: «Artificial intelligence will literally replace half of all office workers». Festival ideas said it in the Aspen Ideas, making it clear that the Tsunami of AI and Technological in general is not a matter of something that will happen in the future, but of the present.
And it is not the only one because other giants such as Amazon, JPMorgan or Anthropic have also launched figures for what is coming.
For example, Marianne Lake, by JPMorgan Chase, has already warned that the bank could reduce its template by 10% in the coming years thanks to the AI. Andy Jassy, Amazon CEO, was just as direct: «We will have fewer people doing some jobs and more people in other new ones.»
The AI not only will change companies, but will cause a 180 degree turn in the type of employment that exists
There is no doubt that all these CEO no longer hide reality. Dario Amodei, from Anthropic, was even further predicting than Half of Junior jobs could disappear in just five years, with unemployment rates from 10% to 20% in the United States. And in companies like Shopify, those above have made it clear that they will not hire anyone if IA can do the job.
To this we must add that unemployment in countries such as the United States could shoot up to 20%.
Amodei has proven how these technologies not only attend, but also begin to replace. «IA is beginning to be better than humans in almost all intellectual tasks, and we are going to deal collectively, as a society, with it,» he said.
«People have adapted to the technological changes of the past,» he adds. «But all the people with whom I have spoken have said that this change looks different, it looks faster, it seems more difficult to adapt, it is broader. The rhythm continues to caught the off guard.»
The trend is crystalline and companies are accelerating automation and looking for more ‘flat’ structures, where the same employee assumes several functions or where positions such as Product Manager and developer are directly merged. Modern, for example, already asks its equipment to launch new products without increasing the number of employees.
Besides, It seems that artificial intelligence is not going for the most precarious jobs, as happened with industrial automation, but is directly pointing to positions that until recently demanded university trainingexperience and cognitive skills.
From administrative tasks to legal assistance, basic programming or data analysis, the first affected are being the entry profiles in sectors traditionally considered «safe», such as office work.
Of course, not all experts see the future so black. Brad Lightcap, from Openai, believes that replacement will not be so fast or massive, although he acknowledges that there will be displacement of positions and that the AI will change the labor market forever.
From the company behind Chatgpt insist that they have not seen any real evidence of mass replacements. «We work with all kinds of companies and we have not yet seen that people are replacing entry employees in a generalized way,» Lightcap explained.
The threat of AI to employment could be exaggerated, according to recent analysis
Going right next to the opposite side, A new report indicates that about 40 % of projects based on artificial intelligence agents should be discarded before 2027. This is because, being more built on inflated expectations than about tangible results, they would be not very profitable.
From Gartner they point out that current models are not yet trained to follow complex instructions or to meet concrete business objectives. That is to say, that in the short term, the presence of human workers will remain essential.
Specifically, it provides that artificial intelligence with agents of AI will continue to expand and that, by 2028, at least 15 % of daily work decisions will be influenced or taken directly by these types of systems.
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Tags: Artificial Intelligence, Work, Software