The Ibex 35 heads towards 11,800 points despite CaixaBank and supported by Fluidra and Ferrovial

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By Jack Ferson

The Spanish selective faces this week like the rest of its European and American counterparts with purchases, supported by the majority of the Ibex 35 values ​​that are positive at the close.to settle the 11,700 points and undertake again the task of recovering towards annual highs and those of the last 14 years.

Good tone, therefore, for the indicator despite the fact that, as José Antonio González, the financial market analyst at Investment Strategies, told us in this session, the background structure of the indicator continues to be clearly growing, clearly anchored in favor of purchases, so it estimates that it is likely to continue exceeding the annual maximums, at 12,038 points.

For this reason, it indicates that the corrective process of recent weeks does not alter this growing background structure, so it is likely that the double top with a bearish projection of recent weeks, this adjustment, still active, could be deactivated in the next few weeks. weeks. Of course, as long as do not present a weekly close below 11,150 points.

In this way, the IBEX 35 closes the session with gains of 0.47% to 11,711.80 points with advances for values ​​such as Fluidra 3.90%, Ferrovial 3.32% and ACS 2.90% and cuts for companies such as Caixabank 2.45%, Iberdrola 1.36% and Amadeus 1.16%.

Among the news of the session, the behavior of IAG (Iberia) undoubtedly stands out, returning to annual highs, which it has broken during a good part of the last sessions and which is especially valid today by rising above 3 euros per share, a psychological level that investors expected and that has led analysts to far exceed its potential above those levels.

The value rises 83.24% from its annual lows this year, situated at 1,647 euros per share since January 18. Its previous annual highs dated back to last Friday (November 22), when it reached 2.96 euros.

If we talk about banks, penalty again, the deepest of the selective and the second consecutive after Friday for Caixabank shares. Just today, Morgan Stanley spoke out. It cuts the recommendation to ‘same as the market’, compared to the previous ‘overweight’, while the target price changes to 6.25 euros, compared to the previous 6.50 euros. Despite this cut, the new valuation represents an upward potential of 19.54% compared to Friday’s close (5.228 euros).

Nothing to do with your vision, for example of Banco Santander. Specifically, Morgan Stanley raises Banco Santander’s recommendation to ‘overweight’, from ‘equal weight’, while raising the target price to 5.90 euros per share, compared to the previous 5.60 euros.

And Barclays is among the Spanish telecommunications stocks in this session while they raise Telefónica’s target price to 5 euros per sharefrom the previous 4.50 euros. The securities have accumulated a rise of 26.2% so far this year, driven by movements in their capital by the State, Criteria Caixa and the Saudi STC.

In addition, they raise Cellnex’s target price to 35 euros per sharecompared to the previous 33 euros. This new assessment represents a upside potential of 7.56% compared to Friday’s close for a value that is having a difficult year: in the accumulated value of 2024 it is down 7.54%.

In the Continuous Market, Duro Felguera takes center stage, which has announced that the Algerian Sonelgaz is requesting compensation of 413 million euros in an arbitration against the Spanish company for the suspension of Djelfa’s contract. The CNMV suspends its shares from trading, while market rumors are that it could enter pre-bankruptcy.

Already in the rest of Europe, generalized advances for European indicators, although the color note is provided by something that is also banked like the Ibex 35 FTSE Mibtel, that loses slight positions in the market.

And it does so on account of the corporate news of the session: UniCredit, which after trying and failing in its attempted merger with Commerzbank, now has a new object of desire. We are talking about the acquisition offer of 10.1 billion euros for its rival BPM. In this way, it values ​​each share of its hitherto competitor at 6.6 euros per share.

The exchange ratio established is 0.175 newly issued shares of the offeror for each share offered.. In this way, the premium is barely non-existent, around half a point compared to Friday’s close.

If the operation is completed and bears fruit, the entity led by Andrea Orcel would become the third European entity, behind Banco Santander and the French company BNP Paribas.

Magnitude punishment, 4.7% for the shares of Unicredit compared to the increase of 5.18% experienced by those of BPM Bank

Beyond this, among the EURO STOXX 50 sectors, cyclical consumption stands out, with advances of 2.21%, basic materials and non-cyclical consumption among what rises in this session compared to the falls in health care and the energy. Among the best of the day, Richemont, Hermés and Glencore and the worst for Unicredit TotalEnergies and Shell.

In this way, at the close of the market the EURO STOXX 50 gained 0.21% to 4,799 points, the CAC 40 closed with increases of 0.0.3% to 7,257 points, the Dax ends with advances of 0.63% in the the 19,427 points and the London FT 100with gains of 0.33% to 8,289 points.

Already on Wall Street, a session of general advances in this short week due to Thankgiving, Thanksgiving Day, since on Thursday this family day par excellence in the US the stock market will close and on Friday only the NYSE and Nasdaq will operate with half session (will close at 7 pm Spanish time). Yes

On the news, Macy’s was scheduled to publish its accounts tomorrow, but the retailer has had to delay publication due to an accounting problem related to shipping costs. Its shares fell just over 1% in the New York morning. Macy’s has discovered that an employee intentionally made incorrect accounting entries to hide shipping costs. This amounted to an error of between $132 million and $154 million over several years, although it did not affect the company’s cash management, according to the press release. The employee is no longer with the company, and initially there were no others involved.

The retailer expects to present its third quarter results, hold its conference and present its fourth quarter forecasts before December 11. In preliminary results, net sales fell 2.4% to $4.74 billion, compared to analysts’ average estimate of $4.77 billion.

Regarding analyst recommendations, Microstrategy shares rise almost 4% at the open after a sharp improvement in the price target by Bernstein, going from $290 to $600 per share. The firm cited the company’s huge Bitcoin holdings as a catalyst for its valuation, which represents an upside potential of more than 40%.

At mid-session, the DOW JONES Ind Average rose 0.86% to 44,676 points, the S&P 500 gained 0.4% to 5,993 points and the Nasdaq OMX advanced 0.51% to 19,102 points.

Regarding fixed income, with the bond Spanish 10-year loan drops to 2.925% with cuts of 1.88%while the German bund stands at 2.2025% and falls 2.28%. The risk premium rises to 72.15 basis points, with an increase of 0.07% while remaining 9 points below the French premium.

Regarding oil, moves back positions again with size cuts with a European Brent that gives up 0.2.87% up to 72.50 dollars and an American West Texas that cuts 3.03% in price to 69.09. He oro also loses strong positions, 2.89% to $2,658 the ounce.

The Euro Dollar is trading with advances of 0.70% for the single currency, and is exchanged against the greenback at 1.0490 units. And Bitcoin is trading at $96,254 and advancing 0.34%.

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