Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower on tariff uncertainty

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By Jack Ferson

Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower on tariff uncertainty

The enthusiasm of Friday after the Supreme Court ruling against Donald Trump’s trade tariffs This Monday has become a uncertainty scenario with analysts evaluating the final effects and resolutions of the decision of the American justice system. While Trump elevated 15% tariffs on imports last Saturday. Which leaves the DOW JONES Ind Average,S&P 500 y NASDAQ 100 closing the last Monday of February down one -1.66% to 48,804 points, -1.04% to 6,837 points and -1.13% to 22,627 points respectively.

The European Union has not remained silent, pointing out that “a deal is a deal” with respect to the agreements reached previously and asked Washington for clarity on the matter.

Regarding the Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller noted that his support for an interest rate cut in March depends on the next monthly employment report according to Yahoo Finance. If the reading is strong, Waller said he could opt to keep rates steady.

On the corporate side, the shares of payments and e-commerce companies are being hit hard as the selloff spreads, according to Yahoo Finance.

The situation is worrying throughout the group, as investors evaluate the possibility that the artificial intelligence orAI reduces payment friction that these companies monetize:

  • American Express (down 7%) is having its worst day since the post-Liberation Day crash and is pulling back towards its October 2025 $320 support.
  • Rg-A Visa (down 3%) is sliding toward its lowest level since April 2025, the same area after the tariff announcement.
  • Affirm Hldg Rg-A (down 6%), the buy now, pay later company has also returned to May 2025 levels.
  • PayPal Holdingsstands out in the sector, with an increase of more than 7%.

The fall in the price of Apple Given its delays when it comes to AI, it could have become its greater strength compared to their peers Magnificent Sevenaccording to Yahoo Finance.

Part of the reason for the slight increase in Apple’s stock price versus its competitors is because the company is not investing tens of billions of dollars in the Big Data Center Buildout. During its latest results presentations, Amazon, Google, Meta y Microsoft announced that their capital expenditures for 2026 would collectively amount to more than 665 billion dollars.

With regards to economic data we had the February Dallas Fed Mfg Business Index with 0.2 compared to the previous -1.2 and factory orders (Monthly) for December with -0.7% compared to the expected -0.4.

We also had 3-month public debt auction (T-Bill) with a performance of 3.590% already 6 months 3.525%.

With respect to the winning actions we have PayPal Holdings (+5.81% to 44.07 dollars), Domino’s Pizza (+4.10% to $400.36) and Walmart (+2.29% to $125.81)

PayPal rises after reiteration of the rating of PeerPerform on the part of Wolfe Research when analyzing the potential their businesses in the face of a possible acquisitionaccording to Investing.

The research firm said an acquisition multiple could be a few points above PayPal’s current valuation given the potential for a strategic deal to enable value creation through cross-selling and cost reduction.

Wolfe Research said that the unbranded business PayPal is the asset most likely to be of interest to competitors for specific asset purchases. The firm noted that the firm has worked over the past two years to improve the profitability of the unbranded business before returning it to growth.

PayPal is attracting acquisition interest from potential buyers, according to a report from Bloomberg. Some suitors are interested in acquiring the complete companywhile others focus on specific assets.

Domino´s Pizza rises after the presentation of the fourth quarter results 2025 exceeding revenue expectations, although earnings per share were below, according to Investing.

The pizza company recorded a adjusted earnings per share of $5.35 for the fourth quarter, missing the analyst consensus of $5.39 by $0.04. The income they reached the 1.54 billion dollarssurpassing the estimate of $1.52 billion and increasing 6.4% from $1.44 billion in the prior-year period.

Las U.S. comparable store sales they grew a 3.7% during the quarter, while the sales in international comparable stores increased a 0.7% excluding the impact of foreign currencies. The company added 392 net new stores globally during the quarter.

Walmart rises after the expansion of the retailer’s digital business and the potential for margin improvement as key drivers for sustained growth following fourth quarter 2025 results, according to Investing.

Evercore pointed out the growth of 27% of Walmart Digitalwhich reaches approximately 100 billion dollars in the US and 150 billion dollars globallyas evidence that the company’s 6% earnings-per-share growth guidance could be conservative.

The experts pointed out that a faster growth in higher margin segmentsincluding advertising, membership fees and digital operations with variable double-digit margins, should position Walmart for growth even as other retailers face challenges. The fourth quarter results showed a traffic acceleration of 2.6%, US comparable sales of 4.6% with more than 500 basis points coming from electronic commerce, and a global operating income margin expansion of 10 basis points.

Among the losing stocks we have Datadog Rg-A (-11.28% to 102.61 dollars), IBM (-13.13% to $223.39) and American Express (-7.21% to $321.23)

Datadog falls after holding its “Analyst Day” last week receiving a rating of better performance and a target price in 180 dollars on the part of Bernstein Soc Groupaccording to Investing.

He Bernstein analyst Peter Weedcited three factors that increased the firm’s long-term conviction in the stock as Datadog’s positioning in Bits.ai and the platform’s potential to accelerate traction.

The firm also highlighted the offer on-premise of Datadog as a factor that can reduce the risk of complete churn among its largest customers and open up new customer opportunities.

Bernstein noted Datadog’s goal of moving toward being a line of business software rather than just productivity tools for end-user roles.

IBM falls after Anthropic announced an AI tool designed to streamline the COBOL code modernizationaccording to Investing.

Anthropic’s new tool, Claude Codeautomates the exploration and analysis phases of COBOL modernization that traditionally required large consulting teams. The AI ​​tool can map dependencies across thousands of lines of code, document workflows and identify risks that would normally take human analysts months to detect, according to the company.

American Express falls to what was mentioned above about the effects of AI.

Before finishing with the rest of the quotes, the technical analyst of Investment Strategies, Jose Antonio Gonzalez, shares with us an analysis of the Mini Dow Jones Future:

The Mini Dow Jones Industrial Futures (YM) advances in the session with a correction that is reaching -1.70%, a movement that, if it closes at these levels (49,250 points), will simultaneously pierce both (i) the accelerated growing trend that starts from the lows of November 21, as well as (ii) its 50-period or medium-term simple moving average.

In this sense, the movement would force to update next bearish objectives towards the last growing minimum, projected from 48,703 points and, whose perforation, would force to continue updating new bearish objectives, such as the attack on the growing background guideline.

At a technical level, we are witnessing a rebound in volatility levels and contracting activity, arguments that reinforce the bearish movement, all seasoned by a daily MACD momentum oscillator one step away from crossing its neutral or zero band downwards. The threat of piercing important supports such as the lower band of the broad medium-term channel is evolving upwards.

Dow Jones Industrials (YM) future on daily scale with volatility (upper center chart), MACD (lower center chart) and trading activity (lower window). Source: ProRealTime and own elaboration.

Los Oil futures WTI caen one -0.14% at 66.39 dollars and the Brent -0.17% to $71.18.

He Oro upload a +3.40% to $5,253 per ounce and the Plata +7.46% to $88.48.

The pair EUR/USD upload a +0.07% a 1.1790.

Bitcoin falls a -4.42% to $64,686.

He US 10-year bond yield falls a -1.47% a 4.029 already 30 years -0.47% to 4,703.

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